In the third quarter of 2024, Consumer Portfolio Services (CPS) reported a robust financial performance with a significant reduction in problematic receivables and an increase in origination volume. Despite a dip in pre-tax earnings and net income, the company showcased a strong year-over-year revenue growth and is optimistic about its future prospects, leveraging technology and a stable economic environment.
Key Takeaways
- Consumer Portfolio Services saw a 9% increase in revenues year-over-year, reaching $100.6 million for Q3 2024.
- Origination volume surged by 38% to $446 million, contributing to year-to-date revenues of $288.2 million, an 11% rise from the previous year.
- Pre-tax earnings and net income declined to $6.9 million and $4.8 million, respectively, from $14.2 million and $10.4 million in Q3 2023.
- The company’s fair value portfolio grew to $3.1 billion, with an 11.3% yield.
- Operational improvements include reduced funding times and increased same-day funding, despite a slight uptick in annualized net charge-offs.
- Ongoing credit performance enhancements and technology investments, such as the Gen 8 credit decisioning model and AI-driven tools, are expected to drive continued progress.
- The economic outlook remains positive with stable unemployment rates and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Company Outlook
- Consumer Portfolio Services is confident about its performance in the upcoming year, with a strong start in October.
- The company plans to continue focusing on technology to boost efficiencies and reduce fraud losses.
Bearish Highlights
- Pre-tax earnings and net income for Q3 2024 have decreased from the same period in the previous year.
Bullish Highlights
- The company has maintained growth without loosening credit terms and has outperformed competitors in charge-offs.
- Positive economic indicators and a stable industry environment support the potential for substantial growth in 2024.
Misses
- There was a slight increase in annualized net charge-offs, now at 7.53%.
Q&A Highlights
- The company discussed ongoing improvements in credit performance and the successful integration of a new AI fraud score.
- The next earnings call is scheduled for February, with a replay available on the company’s website.
Consumer Portfolio Services (ticker symbol not provided) has demonstrated resilience in Q3 2024, navigating through economic challenges and leveraging advancements in technology to maintain a competitive edge. The company’s strategic focus on operational efficiency and credit performance, coupled with a favorable economic landscape, positions it well for continued success in the financial sector.
InvestingPro Insights
Consumer Portfolio Services (NASDAQ:CPSS) continues to demonstrate financial resilience and growth potential, as reflected in both its Q3 2024 results and recent InvestingPro data. The company’s market capitalization stands at $207.22 million, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.52, indicating a relatively attractive valuation compared to industry peers.
InvestingPro data reveals that CPSS has shown strong performance over the past three months, with a 16.26% price total return. This aligns with the company’s reported 38% surge in origination volume and 9% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2024. The stock’s current price is 83.14% of its 52-week high, suggesting potential room for growth.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year, which corresponds with the company’s positive outlook and strong start in October. Additionally, CPSS is expected to remain profitable this year, supporting its ability to continue investing in technology and operational improvements.
It’s worth noting that while CPSS does not pay a dividend to shareholders, it has been profitable over the last twelve months, with a diluted EPS from continuing operations of $0.87. This profitability, combined with the company’s focus on technology-driven efficiencies and credit performance enhancements, positions CPSS well for future growth.
For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Consumer Portfolio Services’ financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to inform investment decisions.
Full transcript – Consumer Portfolio Services Inc (CPSS) Q3 2024:
Operator: Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Consumer Portfolio Services 2024 Third Quarter Operating Results Conference Call. Today’s call is being recorded. Before we begin, management has asked me to inform you that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements. Any statements made during this call that are not statements of historical facts may be deemed forward-looking statements. Statements regarding current or historical valuation of receivables, because dependent on estimates of future events, are also forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements are subject to risk that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. I refer you to the company’s annual report filed March 15th for further clarification. The company assumes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, further events, or otherwise. With us here is Mr. Charles Bradley, Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Danny Barwani, Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Mike Lavin, President and Chief Operating Officer of Consumer Portfolio Services. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Bradley.
Charles Bradley: Thank you, and welcome, everyone, to our Third Quarter Earnings Call. Again, we had another good quarter, and slightly [Audio Gap] we’re just basically trying to get comfortable with the credit, so we can start growing again, [Audio Gap] year-over-year from last year, and it’s continuing to be basically strong from the second quarter. Another highlight would be, we think at this point, as I mentioned, we’re comfortable with the credit going forward, and somewhat importantly, the paper from 2022 in the first half of 2023, which is what we’ll loosely call a problematic paper for us and everyone else, is down to less than 33% of the portfolio. So as that runs off and the new paper comes in, everything’s going to get a whole lot better, so we’re looking forward to that. Basically those are the highlights. Probably the other one would be the securization. With the rate drop, we’re now getting a better execution. That market still remains very strong, so it’s very positive for us going forward. I’ll make some other comments, but for now, I’ll turn it over to Danny to go through the financials.
Danny Bharwani: Thank you, Brad. Going over the financial results, revenues for the quarter, $100.6 million is up 9% from the $92.1 in the third quarter last year. For the year-to-date period, $288.2 of revenues is 11% higher than the three months — the three quarters for 2023 of $260 million. The top line revenue growth is driven by a very good origination volume for the quarter, $446 million is 38% higher than the $322 we did in the third quarter last year. For the year-to-date period, originations are $1.224 billion compared to $1.056, which is 16% higher than last year. So the fair value portfolio, which drives our top line revenue, is now $3.1 billion, and we’re yielding 11.3% on that portfolio, remembering that the 11.3% yield is net of losses. The revenue for this quarter also includes a $5.5 million markup to the fair value portfolio, and that markup is a result of better than expected performance on that portfolio. The prior period — the prior year quarter also included a markup of $6 million for the fair value portfolio. Expenses during the quarter, $93.7, is up from $77.9 in the third quarter of last year. For the year-to-date period, expenses were $268.1 million versus $208.8, and those expenses are primarily driven higher by increases in interest expense, which is a function of both higher interest rates, but also because we have a larger portfolio and have a larger securitization and credit line debt balance. The pre-tax earnings for the quarter, $6.9 million compared to $14.2 million in the third quarter of last year. Year-to-date period, pre-tax earnings, $20.1 million compared to $51.3 in the year-to-date period of 2023. Net income is $4.8 million for the quarter, $4.7 was the June quarter, and that compares to $10.4 million in the third quarter of last year. For the year-to-date period, $14.1 million of net income versus $38.2 million in the year-to-date period last year. Diluted earnings per share is $0.20 per share compared to $19 last quarter and $0.41 per share last year. For the year-to-date period, $0.58 compared to $1.51 for the nine months of 2023. Moving over to the balance sheet, as I mentioned earlier, our fair value portfolio is now $3.1 billion, is 17% higher than the $2.67 billion as of 9/30 of 2023. Our securitization balance, debt balance is $2.875 billion, is 28% higher than the $2.243 as of 9/30 last year. So we’ve seen the portfolio grow faster than the debt balance is growing. Shareholders’ equity is $285.1 million for this quarter compared to $265.9, so 7% increase year-over-year. Going over other metrics, the net interest margin is $50.5 million compared to $54.2 in the third quarter of last year, that’s a 7% decrease. For the year-to-date period, net interest margin is $149.5 million, is 3% lower than $153.7 for the nine months of 2023. Core operating expenses for the quarter, $44.6, 6% higher than the $42 million last year. For the year-to-date period, core operating expenses is $134 million, is 9% higher than $123.1 million for 2023. And the core operating expenses as a percentage of the managed portfolio is now down to 5.4% in the current quarter compared to 5.7% last year, that’s a 5% decrease. On an annualized basis, core operating expenses were flat at 5.7%. I will turn it over to Mike.
Mike Lavin: Thanks, Danny. In originations and sales, like Danny mentioned, in Q3 we originated $446 million in new contracts, which is a slight increase month-over-month over the $431 million we did in Q2. I just want to note, in the month of October, we just had our best origination month of the year, and actually the second best month in the 33-year history of our company. Given our ’24 growth-to-date, we have been able to build our portfolio receivables to $3.3 billion at quarter end, which is an increase of 12% over the portfolio size of $2.9 billion at the end of Q3 ’23. If we continue at our current origination pace for the remainder of the year, we will have achieved a year-over-year growth rate of between 18% and 20%, so a good year overall. It’s important to note, very important to note actually, that we have achieved this growth without loosening our credit. To be more specific, we’ve done this without raising our LTVs or changing our payment to income or debt to income ratios. That’s very, very hard to do in our space. To take it a step further, we’ve achieved that growth while maintaining a strong average APR that is running just north of 20%. In fact, we’ve only had to minimally lower our price on the margins in various states and only to our best A and B grade dealers. So we’re running a strong APR, growing and not loosening our credit at the same time. The growth has come organically through improving metrics such as funding dealers, dealer loyalty and capture with our current roster of 103 sales reps. We’ve been marching up our sales force. We added roughly 17 sales reps and added or fortified 12 new geographic territories in Q3. We’ve actually added 23 sales reps so far in ’24. That’s the best growth rate we’ve had in our sales force in a couple of years. We’re also starting to see results of our multi-year initiative to add more large dealer group business to our portfolio. We did 119 million in large dealer group originations in Q3, which is a 21% increase over Q2 and a whopping 40% increase over Q1. We have taken our large dealer group from 21% of originations at the beginning of the year to roughly 28% at the end of Q3. I also believe that there’s significant room for improvement in this area of the business as we move forward. We also continue to bolster our efforts to provide our dealers with frictionless transactions. This goes to our brand and our stated purpose of having the best customer service in the industry. We’ve been able to lower our funding time to an all-time low of 1.79 funding days, which is a dramatic drop from our historical average of roughly 3.5 funding days. The faster the dealer can get their money, the more chances we’re going to get more business. In the same token, we’ve been able to raise our same-day funding to 17.35% of deals funded, which is a significant improvement over our average same-day funding of 6.5% in 2023. Again, the faster the dealer gets their money, the more apt we are to get more business from that dealer. We have been able to achieve some of these results using AI on the front end of our business, which is speeding up processing. We’re being able to check proof of income really quickly. We’re able to get through verifications and improve stipulations, all with AI and without human interaction and with precise accuracy. The other thing that’s helped is we’ve seen a higher penetration of e-contracting in our business so far this year, and we expect that to get higher moving forward. Switching over to portfolio performance, our annualized net charge-offs for Q3 were 7.53% of the portfolio as compared to 6.86% for Q3 of 2023. Delinquencies greater than 30 days, which includes repossession inventory, were 14.04% of the total portfolio as of the end of Q3, and that’s compared to 12.31% as of the end of Q3 2023. Diving a little deeper, we were able to knock down the DQ month-over-month for the first five months of this year and have seemed to get it under control going forward through Q3. Taking a step further, looking at our CNLs on a vintage basis, going all the way back to 2022, we have seen incremental improvements, vintage-over-vintage, from 2022 through the first three quarters of this year, so we’re trending downward on the CNLs as we move forward through 2024 and into 2025. This is a testament to our early tightening of our credit in late 2022 and continuing into the first quarter of 2024. It also correlates to the implementation of our Gen 8 credit decisioning model that we set forth in October of 2023, and of course, I would be remiss without mentioning that it is also related to good old-fashioned hard work by our servicing department. To that end, we have tightened our collection model. We’ve hired more collectors in the back half of 2023 and into 2024. This has allowed us to reallocate veteran collectors from the earlier, easier accounts to the tougher vintages, and we’ve been able to leverage our small and near-shore team to lessen the DQ roll by hammering down on the potential DQ accounts. That’s one to 29 accounts. Our extensions remain flat as a percentage of our portfolio. One note, given the two hurricanes that rolled through in Q3, we’ve seen minimal impact in both hurricanes in Florida and specifically North Carolina. From a technology standpoint, we recently migrated our omnichannel collection system to the cloud, which provides us a more powerful autodialer and will allow us to better communicate with our customers via text, which is by far the most important touch point, and also email and chat. We should see some collection lift from this migration moving forward. The cloud migration will also allow us to launch our AI voice Bot after a successful pilot. We expect the AI voice Bot to further allow us to reallocate those veteran collectors to tougher accounts and increase our call efficiency and promote self-service payments. Finally, looking at our portfolio performance as marked against our competitors, market analysis by certain bankers reveals that we are consistently outperforming our peers by up to 5% in the CNL starting from 2022 to present. One final note before I take it back to Brad. In our ongoing battle against fraud, we integrated a new AI fraud score earlier this year that we estimate has saved us nearly $4 million in losses to date. Those savings will compound as we move forward, and we’re also currently piloting another AI fraud score that we believe will further lower losses going forward. And with that, I’ll pass it back to Brad.
Charles Bradley: Thanks, Mike. So looking at the industry, I think probably what’s kind of good about our industry is everybody’s playing, everybody’s kind of doing what they’re supposed to be doing. There aren’t any real problems. Most everyone is still working through the 22, early 23 originations, trying to get their credit back in line. As I mentioned, our credit now is we feel very good about where we sit in the credit spectrum. One of the reasons we’ve been able to grow a lot is because we like where we sit and we’re becoming a little more aggressive in the market. Maybe other players are still doing about the same thing. Some are aggressive, some are still trying to get through those problems. Either way, the health of the industry is very good. There have been no new entrants in our industry in a long time, which again, I think just shows that the industry has matured and only strong players are still here. That’s important because when someone blows up, it causes ripples within the whole industry. And also those kind of problems affect the ABS market, and since that’s what we need every quarter, we want that market to stay strong, and as I mentioned, it is. I think in looking at the economy, everybody can say it’s all about the election, and as much as it may be, I don’t think whatever the result is, it will affect us in a tremendous way one way or another. As we’ve said numerous hundreds of times, what we care about is unemployment. Unemployment is in a great position today. I don’t think that’ll change no matter who wins the election. I think the economy is in a very good position today, and so I think with a growing economy and very strong unemployment numbers, the backdrop for us in terms of going next year, and you throw in the fact that the Fed has now lowered rates once, and it’s expected to lower rates a few more times, we now are coming into a perfect kind of place in terms of we’re comfortable with our credit, we’re comfortable with our growth strategies, and we’re executing them. We’re doing many other things in the back side of the business to improve things. So as I mentioned before, we’re trying to get positioned for next year, and I think we’ve done a wonderful job of doing that almost across the board. With the economy being strong, unemployment being good, the rates coming down, and us being in a position to grow substantially in the new year, the future looks quite bright for what we’re doing. With that, I think we’ll see how the rest plays out. We have one more quarter this year, and then we can hopefully go up to a big start for next year. We look forward to speaking with everyone again sometime in February. Thank you for attending.
End of Q&A: Thank you. This concludes today’s teleconference. A replay will be available beginning two hours from now for 12 months via the company’s website at www.consumerportfolio.com. Please disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day.
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